The Weather We Grew Up With Is Leaving

A forest with only a few trees remaining and others lying on the ground cut down for the blog "The Weather We Grew Up With Is Leaving" by Dhrruv Tokas.

In India, climate change doesn’t arrive like a headline. It arrives like a small betrayal in the body. A night that should have cooled down, but didn’t. A summer that leans past your tolerance earlier than it used to. A monsoon that shows up late, or all at once, or in the wrong places. You can still call it “weather” if you want, but the pattern beneath it is starting to feel like something else.

The data is blunt about what many of us already feel. The India Meteorological Department reports that 2024 was the warmest year in India since records began in 1901, with an annual mean land surface air temperature anomaly of +0.65°C relative to the 1991–2020 average. It also reports a significant long-term warming trend of about 0.68°C per 100 years over 1901–2024. What makes that feel personal isn’t just the “average.” It’s how heat shows up where humans actually live: in warmer nights, in higher humidity, in longer spells that don’t give your body a break.

And heat is no longer a niche risk. A 2025 Reuters report summarizing a study notes that about 57% of Indian districts, home to roughly 76% of the population, face high to very high heat risk, with rising night-time temperatures and humidity making heat stress harder on the body. This is not abstract. It’s a pressure on work, on health, on schooling, on electricity, on water, on the simple ability to rest.

Then there’s the other side of the same coin: water, not as relief but as disruption. The monsoon is still the central rhythm of our lives, but it’s becoming harder to treat it like a dependable calendar. Research and assessments increasingly point toward heavier downpours and more extreme rainfall events even while local shortages and dry spells persist. And when rain becomes more intense, it doesn’t just test clouds and rivers. It tests our choices on the ground: where we build, what we pave, what we drain, what we ignore until it floods.

This is where climate change stops being “nature” and starts becoming a mirror. Because disasters are rarely made by weather alone. A recent report discussed in Indian coverage about floods in the Himalayan region argues that focusing only on climate change can hide the role of human exposure: settlements pushed into riskier zones, fragile planning, and infrastructure choices that turn heavy rain into catastrophe. The climate loads the dice. Our decisions decide where the dice land.

Along the coasts, the story is slower but relentless. The IPCC has said that relative sea level around Asia has risen faster than the global average, and that sea level will continue to rise, increasing risks for densely populated coastal areas. For India, that doesn’t only mean “future shoreline maps.” It means saltwater pushing into groundwater, stronger storm surges meeting expensive cities, and a constant rise in the cost of being unprepared.

Up north, the Himalaya carries another timeline. Glacier runoff in the Asian high mountains is projected to increase up to the mid-21st century and then decline as glacier storage is lost. That arc matters because glaciers aren’t just ice. They are delayed water. They smooth extremes, until they can’t.

And beneath all of this, the ocean is warming. The IPCC’s regional fact sheet for the ocean says the surface Indian Ocean has warmed faster than the global average (very high confidence). That matters because oceans are not background scenery. They are engines. A warmer ocean holds more energy, influences rainfall patterns, and can contribute to the rapid intensification of cyclones, making warning and response harder.

If this sounds like too much at once, that’s because it is. Climate change isn’t one problem. It’s a stress multiplier that touches everything we already struggled with: inequality, crowded cities, fragile infrastructure, water mismanagement, unreliable healthcare access, and the reality that millions of people work outdoors because they must.

So where does responsibility sit in this story?

It sits everywhere, but not equally.

On the global scale, the science is clear: human activities have caused global warming. The IPCC states that global surface temperature reached about 1.1°C above 1850–1900 in 2011–2020. IPCC The World Meteorological Organization has confirmed that 2024 was the warmest year on record at about 1.55°C above the pre-industrial level. These numbers matter because warming is cumulative. Emissions don’t respect borders. A ton burned anywhere thickens the same sky above Delhi, Chennai, and Srinagar. That’s the uncomfortable truth: India can do many things right and still suffer if the world keeps doing the wrong thing.

But the other uncomfortable truth is that India is now too large to pretend our choices don’t matter. We are not spectators in a global drama. We are participants with real leverage. India’s own commitments reflect that tension: in its updated NDC submitted to the UNFCCC, India committed to reduce the emissions intensity of its GDP by 45% by 2030 from 2005 levels, to achieve about 50% cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil sources by 2030, and it reiterates a long-term goal of net-zero by 2070.

At the same time, fairness matters. India’s per-capita emissions remain less than half the global average, around 2 tonnes, according to the IEA’s CO₂ emissions analysis. That doesn’t erase responsibility, but it does shape the kind of responsibility. India’s challenge is not “stop developing.” It’s “develop without burning the future as fuel.”

This is the real wake-up call: climate change is not a single switch we flip someday. It’s the sum of daily systems.

It’s what powers our homes and how we cool them. It’s how our cities grow: whether they grow with trees, shade, porous ground, and public transport, or with heat-trapping concrete and long commutes that bake people twice a day. It’s how we treat rivers: as living systems or as drains. It’s whether we treat heat like a serious public health hazard, with plans and shelters and alerts, or like a seasonal inconvenience that people should “tough out.”

It’s also what the world does, because India lives inside global supply chains and global politics. When large economies delay, when fossil fuel infrastructure expands, when climate finance is promised and not delivered, it’s not a diplomatic failure in the abstract. It becomes a hotter April in North India. It becomes a costlier flood season. It becomes another year where “once in a century” events start happening too often to be called rare.

There is a particular kind of exhaustion that comes from hearing about climate change for years and feeling like nothing changes. I understand that fatigue. But the weather is not waiting for our attention. It is changing anyway. The question is whether we change with intention or with panic.

A country as diverse as India doesn’t need one perfect plan. It needs many honest ones that meet people where they are. Heat action plans that protect workers. Buildings designed for airflow and shade instead of only glass and AC. Clean electricity that makes cooling safer without making emissions worse. Better forecasting and early warnings. Smarter land use so water has somewhere to go besides our living rooms. Farming support that respects the reality of shifting rainfall rather than pretending old calendars still apply. These aren’t “green luxuries.” They are practical survival upgrades.

The final point is the simplest, and maybe the hardest: climate change is not only an environmental crisis. It’s a meaning crisis. It asks what we value when the costs are delayed, distributed, and easy to deny. It asks whether we can act on behalf of people we will never meet. It asks whether convenience is the highest good. It asks whether “someone else will handle it” is a story we can afford to keep telling.

Because India will not experience climate change as a concept. India will experience it as heat on skin, water in streets, salt in soil, and stress in the spaces between people.

This is not a reason to despair. It’s a reason to wake up without drama and without delay. The weather we grew up with is leaving. The only real question now is whether we meet that truth with denial, or with design.

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